Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Osnabruck win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Osnabruck win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
