Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.