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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark
FD

Ingolstadt
0 - 1
Dusseldorf


Franke (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pledl (80')
Hoffmann (73'), Ofori (90')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawFortuna Dusseldorf
36.69%24.68%38.63%
Both teams to score 58.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84%44.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46%66.54%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11%57.89%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58%56.41%
Score Analysis
    FC Ingolstadt 04 36.69%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 38.63%
    Draw 24.67%
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.27%
1-0 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.63%


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