Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.