SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Schalke 04 |
46.7% ( -0.37) | 22.54% ( 0.14) | 30.76% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 64.87% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( -0.55) | 35.57% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.37% ( -0.61) | 57.63% ( 0.62) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( -0.34) | 15.73% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.18% ( -0.64) | 44.82% ( 0.64) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.13) | 23.03% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( -0.2) | 56.84% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.76% |
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