Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greuther Furth in this match.