SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Greuther Furth |
56.83% ( -0.12) | 22.42% ( 0.02) | 20.74% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.04) | 44.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.04) | 66.62% ( -0.04) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.03) | 15.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.88% ( -0.05) | 44.12% ( 0.05) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% ( 0.12) | 35.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.94% ( 0.12) | 72.06% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.74% |
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