Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.04) 
