Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-2.55) 
0.29) 
