SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | St Pauli |
36.15% ( -0.16) | 24.22% ( -0.12) | 39.63% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.55) | 42.01% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.55) | 64.42% ( -0.55) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.16) | 23.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.24) | 56.89% ( -0.23) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.38) | 21.3% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.58) | 54.24% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.63% |
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