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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 12pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Magdeburg

Erras (33'), Arp (54')
Porath (39'), Reese (70'), Schulz (72'), Sander (76'), Schreiber (79'), Wahl (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elfadli (45'), Bockhorn (70'), Kwarteng (86')
Kwarteng (1'), Ullmann (40'), El Hankouri (67'), Ceka (79'), Atik (79'), Heber (88')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Magdeburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 4 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-1 Karlsruher
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawMagdeburg
48.84% (-1.762 -1.76) 21.95% (0.521 0.52) 29.21% (1.242 1.24)
Both teams to score 66.04% (-0.982 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39% (-1.683 -1.68)33.61% (1.685 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.58% (-1.942 -1.94)55.42% (1.945 1.95)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-1.164 -1.16)14.25% (1.167 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98% (-2.321 -2.32)42.02% (2.326 2.33)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)22.98% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.143 -0.14)56.77% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 48.84%
    Magdeburg 29.21%
    Draw 21.95%
Holstein KielDrawMagdeburg
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.292 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.403 0.4)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.281 0.28)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.277 0.28)
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.4 0.4)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.285 0.29)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 4 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, January 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-1 Hannover
Friday, November 11 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Holstein Kiel
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 1-4 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Dusseldorf
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-1 Karlsruher
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Magdeburg
Sunday, November 13 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 0-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Thursday, November 10 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 1-2 Magdeburg
Sunday, November 6 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Friday, October 28 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga


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