Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.07) 
