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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
Jun 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
An der alten Forsterei
FD

Union Berlin
3 - 0
Dusseldorf

Ujah (26'), Gentner (54'), Abdullahi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kownacki (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
43.96%25.13%30.91%
Both teams to score 55.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4%47.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2%69.8%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35%21.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22%54.78%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14%28.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27%64.73%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 43.96%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 30.91%
    Draw 25.13%
Union BerlinDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.91%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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