SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Hamburger SV |
34.73% ( -0.67) | 22.98% ( 0.15) | 42.29% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 64.93% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.92) | 36.18% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.7% ( -1.02) | 58.3% ( 1.01) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( -0.76) | 21.13% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( -1.2) | 53.98% ( 1.19) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.17) | 17.67% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% ( -0.29) | 48.29% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.01% Total : 42.29% |
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