Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
