Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.