Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jahn Regensburg would win this match.
