Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
