SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hannover |
45.94% ( -0.22) | 23.22% ( -0.04) | 30.84% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( 0.33) | 38.85% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.83% ( 0.34) | 61.16% ( -0.35) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( 0.04) | 17.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.39% ( 0.07) | 47.61% ( -0.07) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.32) | 24.58% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0.45) | 59.08% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hannover |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.84% |
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