Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.