Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.