Whilst the home side have had the better recent form - and the better season - Arminia have so much to play for. We can see this ending as a hard-fought draw, which unfortunately for caretaker manager Marco Kostmann and his side, probably will not be enough to save them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
61.74%	21.34%	16.92%

Both teams to score 51.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7%

45.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36%

67.64%

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87%

14.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21%

41.79%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.88%

40.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.24%

76.77%

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 61.73%

Arminia Bielefeld 16.92%

Draw 21.33%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 11.09% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.72% Total : 61.73%	1-1 @ 10.13% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.33%	0-1 @ 5.18% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.92%