Whilst the home side have had the better recent form - and the better season - Arminia have so much to play for. We can see this ending as a hard-fought draw, which unfortunately for caretaker manager Marco Kostmann and his side, probably will not be enough to save them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
