Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
