Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
