Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
