SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
42.81% ( 0.09) | 22.61% ( -0.02) | 34.58% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 66.31% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.62% ( 0.07) | 34.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.71% ( 0.08) | 56.29% ( -0.08) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( 0.06) | 16.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.37% ( 0.11) | 46.63% ( -0.11) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( 0) | 20.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( -0) | 52.8% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.58% |
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