SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
38.59% ( 0.1) | 24.53% ( -0.04) | 36.88% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.16) | 43.47% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0.16) | 65.86% ( -0.16) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.12) | 22.45% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( 0.18) | 55.99% ( -0.18) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.04) | 23.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( 0.06) | 57.29% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.88% |
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