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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
HDI-Arena
DL

Hannover
0 - 2
Dortmund


Kunze (35'), Besuschkow (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arrey-Mbi (11' og.), Bellingham (71' pen.)
Hazard (38'), Can (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hannover 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, October 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Hannover 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Hannover are only 15 places below BVB in the German footballing pyramid heading into the encounter, so they will be confident of making their more illustrious opponents work hard for their victory. However, we expect Dortmund to bounce back with a win on Wednesday, with the return of Reus likely to provide them with a huge boost. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hannover win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
HannoverDrawBorussia Dortmund
24.43% (1.609 1.61) 22.12% (0.538 0.54) 53.45% (-2.146 -2.15)
Both teams to score 60.83% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-0.757 -0.76)38.52% (0.755 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.808 -0.81)60.82% (0.806 0.81)
Hannover Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.89400000000001 0.89)28.86% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (1.097 1.1)64.72% (-1.098 -1.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)14.49% (0.934 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52% (-1.837 -1.84)42.48% (1.836 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Hannover 24.43%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.45%
    Draw 22.11%
HannoverDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.316 0.32)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.02% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hannover 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, October 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-1 Hannover
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 1-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, September 30 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 2-3 Hannover
Friday, September 16 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 1-1 Braunschweig
Saturday, September 10 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hansa Rostock 0-1 Hannover
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Schalke
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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