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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel


Aremu (73'), Beifus (90+1')
FT
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-0 St Pauli
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 1-4 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
52.12% (-0.11 -0.11) 22.39% (0.169 0.17) 25.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.05% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.849 -0.85)38.76% (0.852 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)61.07% (0.904 0.9)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (-0.334 -0.33)15.01% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52% (-0.641 -0.64)43.48% (0.644 0.64)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (-0.49300000000001 -0.49)28.17% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (-0.631 -0.63)63.86% (0.635 0.63)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 52.12%
    Holstein Kiel 25.49%
    Draw 22.39%
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.226 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 25.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-0 St Pauli
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 29 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, October 22 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 St Pauli
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 1-4 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Dusseldorf
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, October 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 3-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-1 Hansa Rostock
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga


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