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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
42.95% ( -0.07) | 25.16% ( 0.22) | 31.89% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( -1.05) | 47.37% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( -0.98) | 69.59% ( 0.97) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( -0.48) | 22.02% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( -0.73) | 55.35% ( 0.72) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( -0.62) | 28.1% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( -0.79) | 63.77% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.89% |
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