SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
57.11% ( 0.58) | 22.27% ( -0.17) | 20.62% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( 0.23) | 43.76% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( 0.22) | 66.15% ( -0.22) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.27) | 15.09% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.37% ( 0.51) | 43.63% ( -0.51) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.27) | 35.15% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( -0.29) | 71.9% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.11% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.62% |
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