SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
40.66% ( 0.05) | 26.15% ( -0.05) | 33.19% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( 0.21) | 51.24% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 0.18) | 73.08% ( -0.18) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.12) | 24.85% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( 0.16) | 59.45% ( -0.16) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.1) | 29.17% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 0.13) | 65.11% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.19% |
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