SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nuremberg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
46.89% ( 0.42) | 25.08% ( -0.14) | 28.03% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.39) | 48.88% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( 0.35) | 70.97% ( -0.36) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.34) | 20.88% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( 0.54) | 53.58% ( -0.54) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( -0.02) | 31.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( -0.02) | 67.96% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.03% |
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