Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | SC Paderborn |
38% ( 0.03) | 23.08% ( 0.15) | 38.93% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 65.06% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.78% ( -0.75) | 36.22% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.66% ( -0.83) | 58.34% ( 0.83) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( -0.31) | 19.55% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% ( -0.52) | 51.46% ( 0.52) |
SC Paderborn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( -0.4) | 19.13% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( -0.67) | 50.77% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | SC Paderborn |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 38.93% |
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