Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.
0.08) 
-0.01) 
