Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
