SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
56.1% ( -0.2) | 22.57% ( 0.05) | 21.33% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0.01) | 44.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( -0.01) | 66.54% ( 0.01) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.07) | 15.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.48% ( -0.13) | 44.52% ( 0.13) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( 0.14) | 34.68% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% ( 0.15) | 71.41% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 56.1% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.33% |
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