Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
1.28) 
-0.04) 
