SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
56.32% ( 0.47) | 21.4% ( 0.04) | 22.27% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0.8) | 37.6% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% ( -0.86) | 59.83% ( 0.86) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% ( -0.12) | 13.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.91% ( -0.24) | 40.09% ( 0.24) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.88) | 30.12% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( -1.06) | 66.27% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 56.32% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.27% |
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