SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
32.09% ( -1.13) | 23.25% ( 0.03) | 44.66% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.91% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( -0.59) | 38.43% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( -0.63) | 60.72% ( 0.63) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.93) | 23.64% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( -1.35) | 57.73% ( 1.35) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 0.2) | 17.61% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( 0.35) | 48.2% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.95% Total : 44.66% |
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