Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
