SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Magdeburg |
41.89% ( -2.03) | 23.32% ( 0.3) | 34.78% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 63.64% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( -0.96) | 37.87% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( -1.03) | 60.13% ( 1.02) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -1.23) | 18.52% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.24% ( -2.11) | 49.75% ( 2.1) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.48) | 21.88% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.86% ( 0.73) | 55.13% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.63% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.52% Total : 34.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 67 |
| 2 | Heidenheim | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | St Pauli | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 55 |
| 6 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 54 |
| 7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 45 |
| 8 | Hannover | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 43 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Magdeburg | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 36 |
| 15 | Nuremberg | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 34 |
| 17 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 31 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 28 |
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