Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.
