Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.