Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 0-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.