Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Karlsruher SC	Draw	Hamburger SV
35.25%	22.85%	41.89%

Both teams to score 65.55% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.56%

35.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.52% (

57.48%

Karlsruher SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

20.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

53.02%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

17.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

48.04%

Score Analysis

Karlsruher SC 35.25%

Hamburger SV 41.89%

Draw 22.85%

Karlsruher SC	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 8.64% 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.89%