SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Hamburger SV |
36.35% ( -0.51) | 24.9% ( 0.12) | 38.75% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.6) | 45.23% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.57) | 67.57% ( 0.57) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.55) | 24.42% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( -0.78) | 58.85% ( 0.78) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0.07) | 23.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -0.1) | 57.03% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.35% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.75% |
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