Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.28) 
