Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Karlsruher

Hamburger SV win 3-2 on penalties

Glatzel (52', 90+1')
Gyamerah (39'), Jatta (107')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Heise (40'), Hofmann (50')
Kobald (45+2'), Breithaupt (101')
Kobald (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hamburger SV and Karlsruher SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hamburger SV 2-1 Karlsruher SC

Given both sides have impressed to reach this stage, we predict an even encounter and one that could certainly go either way. Over the course of the season, Walter's men seem the slightly stronger of the two sides, and we just give them the edge with home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Karlsruher SC
49.8%	21.88%	28.31%

Both teams to score 65.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.09%

33.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23%

55.76%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95%

14.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.38%

41.62%

Karlsruher SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32%

23.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21%

57.79%

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 49.8%

Karlsruher SC 28.31%

Draw 21.88%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Karlsruher SC
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 6.04% 3-2 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 1.16% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.71% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.31%