Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
