SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
42.22% ( -1.52) | 24.6% ( 0.46) | 33.18% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -1.77) | 44.43% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -1.73) | 66.8% ( 1.74) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -1.41) | 21.11% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( -2.25) | 53.95% ( 2.25) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.21) | 25.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( -0.28) | 60.85% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.22% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.18% |
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